A Simulation Study of an ASEAN Monetary Union (Replaces CentER DP 2010-100)

O. Boldea, J.C. Engwerda, T. Michalak, J.E.J. Plasmans, S. Salmah

Research output: Working paperDiscussion paperOther research output

264 Downloads (Pure)

Abstract

This paper analyzes some pros and cons of a monetary union for the ASEAN1 countries, excluding Myanmar. We estimate a stylized open-economy dynamic general equilibrium model for the ASEAN countries. Using the framework of linear quadratic differential games, we contrast the potential gains or losses for these countries due to economic shocks, in case they maintain their status-quo, they coordinate their monetary and/or fiscal policies, or form a monetary union. Assuming for all players open-loop information, we conclude that there are substantial gains from cooperation of monetary authorities. We also find that whether a monetary union improves upon monetary cooperation depends on the type of shocks and the extent of fiscal policy cooperation. Results are based both on a theoretical study of the structure of the estimated model and a simulation study.
Original languageEnglish
Place of PublicationTilburg
PublisherEconometrics
Volume2011-098
Publication statusPublished - 2011

Publication series

NameCentER Discussion Paper
Volume2011-098

Keywords

  • ASEAN economic integration
  • monetary union
  • linear quadratic differential games
  • open-loop information structure

Fingerprint Dive into the research topics of 'A Simulation Study of an ASEAN Monetary Union (Replaces CentER DP 2010-100)'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

  • Cite this

    Boldea, O., Engwerda, J. C., Michalak, T., Plasmans, J. E. J., & Salmah, S. (2011). A Simulation Study of an ASEAN Monetary Union (Replaces CentER DP 2010-100). (CentER Discussion Paper; Vol. 2011-098). Econometrics.