Are short-lived jobs stepping stones to long-lasting jobs?

B. Cockx, M. Picchio

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

29 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

This article assesses whether short-lived jobs (lasting one quarter or less and involuntarily ending in unemployment) are stepping stones to long-lasting jobs (enduring 1 year or more) for Belgian long-term unemployed school-leavers. We proceed in two steps. First, we estimate labour market trajectories in a multi-spell duration model that incorporates lagged duration and lagged occurrence dependence. Second, in a simulation we find that (fe)male school-leavers accepting a short-lived job are, within 2 years, 13.4 (9.5) percentage points more likely to find a long-lasting job than in the counterfactual in which they reject short-lived jobs.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)646-675
JournalOxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics
Volume74
Issue number5
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2012

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