Abstract
This paper assesses whether short-lived jobs (lasting one quarter or less and involuntarily ending in unemployment) are stepping stones to long-lasting jobs (enduring one year or more) for Belgian long-term unemployed school-leavers. We proceed in two steps. First, we estimate labour market trajectories in a multi-spell duration model that incorporates lagged duration and lagged occurrence dependence. Second, in a simulation we find that (fe)male school-leavers accepting a short-lived job are, within two years, 13.4 (9.5) percentage points more likely to find a long-lasting job than in the counterfactual in which they reject short-lived jobs.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Place of Publication | Tilburg |
| Publisher | Microeconomics |
| Number of pages | 36 |
| Volume | 2010-95 |
| Publication status | Published - 2010 |
Publication series
| Name | CentER Discussion Paper |
|---|---|
| Volume | 2010-95 |
UN SDGs
This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)
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SDG 8 Decent Work and Economic Growth -
SDG 10 Reduced Inequalities
Keywords
- event history model
- transition data
- state dependence
- short-lived jobs
- stepping stone effect
- long-lasting jobs
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