Brown Backstops versus the Green Paradox (Replaced by CentER DP 2011-110)

T.O. Michielsen

Research output: Working paperDiscussion paperOther research output

Abstract

Imperfect climate policies may be ineffective when fossil fuel owners respond by shifting their supply spatially (coined carbon leakage) or intertemporally (the green paradox). Though these effects are usually analyzed separately, the underlying mechanisms are similar. Exhaustibleffossil fuel owners must trade off present and future extraction or supplying one country and the other. Whereas this is a plausible representation for oil and natural gas, important emission-intensive substitutes such as coal and uncoventional oil are so abundant that their owners face no such trade-off. A decrease in coal demand in one time period or region will therefore not trigger an equal increase in supply in the other. Moreover, if imperfect climate policies causes oil and natural gas owners to supply more in the near future or in countries with lax regulation, demand for dirtier substitutes will go down. Both effects mitigate intertemporal and spatial carbon leakage. When the substitutability between oil and coal differs across time periods or countries, a 'strong green orthodox' may occur.
Original languageEnglish
Place of PublicationTilburg
PublisherEconomics
Volume2011-076
Publication statusPublished - 2011

Publication series

NameCentER Discussion Paper
Volume2011-076

Fingerprint

Owners
Paradox
Oil
Substitute
Trade-offs
Natural gas
Climate policy
Carbon leakage
Substitutability
Fossil fuels
Trigger

Keywords

  • green paradox
  • exhaustible resource
  • backstop
  • climate change
  • carbon tax

Cite this

Michielsen, T. O. (2011). Brown Backstops versus the Green Paradox (Replaced by CentER DP 2011-110). (CentER Discussion Paper; Vol. 2011-076). Tilburg: Economics.
Michielsen, T.O. / Brown Backstops versus the Green Paradox (Replaced by CentER DP 2011-110). Tilburg : Economics, 2011. (CentER Discussion Paper).
@techreport{c81a5c0774064ac3914a291645be400f,
title = "Brown Backstops versus the Green Paradox (Replaced by CentER DP 2011-110)",
abstract = "Imperfect climate policies may be ineffective when fossil fuel owners respond by shifting their supply spatially (coined carbon leakage) or intertemporally (the green paradox). Though these effects are usually analyzed separately, the underlying mechanisms are similar. Exhaustibleffossil fuel owners must trade off present and future extraction or supplying one country and the other. Whereas this is a plausible representation for oil and natural gas, important emission-intensive substitutes such as coal and uncoventional oil are so abundant that their owners face no such trade-off. A decrease in coal demand in one time period or region will therefore not trigger an equal increase in supply in the other. Moreover, if imperfect climate policies causes oil and natural gas owners to supply more in the near future or in countries with lax regulation, demand for dirtier substitutes will go down. Both effects mitigate intertemporal and spatial carbon leakage. When the substitutability between oil and coal differs across time periods or countries, a 'strong green orthodox' may occur.",
keywords = "green paradox, exhaustible resource, backstop, climate change, carbon tax",
author = "T.O. Michielsen",
year = "2011",
language = "English",
volume = "2011-076",
series = "CentER Discussion Paper",
publisher = "Economics",
type = "WorkingPaper",
institution = "Economics",

}

Michielsen, TO 2011 'Brown Backstops versus the Green Paradox (Replaced by CentER DP 2011-110)' CentER Discussion Paper, vol. 2011-076, Economics, Tilburg.

Brown Backstops versus the Green Paradox (Replaced by CentER DP 2011-110). / Michielsen, T.O.

Tilburg : Economics, 2011. (CentER Discussion Paper; Vol. 2011-076).

Research output: Working paperDiscussion paperOther research output

TY - UNPB

T1 - Brown Backstops versus the Green Paradox (Replaced by CentER DP 2011-110)

AU - Michielsen, T.O.

PY - 2011

Y1 - 2011

N2 - Imperfect climate policies may be ineffective when fossil fuel owners respond by shifting their supply spatially (coined carbon leakage) or intertemporally (the green paradox). Though these effects are usually analyzed separately, the underlying mechanisms are similar. Exhaustibleffossil fuel owners must trade off present and future extraction or supplying one country and the other. Whereas this is a plausible representation for oil and natural gas, important emission-intensive substitutes such as coal and uncoventional oil are so abundant that their owners face no such trade-off. A decrease in coal demand in one time period or region will therefore not trigger an equal increase in supply in the other. Moreover, if imperfect climate policies causes oil and natural gas owners to supply more in the near future or in countries with lax regulation, demand for dirtier substitutes will go down. Both effects mitigate intertemporal and spatial carbon leakage. When the substitutability between oil and coal differs across time periods or countries, a 'strong green orthodox' may occur.

AB - Imperfect climate policies may be ineffective when fossil fuel owners respond by shifting their supply spatially (coined carbon leakage) or intertemporally (the green paradox). Though these effects are usually analyzed separately, the underlying mechanisms are similar. Exhaustibleffossil fuel owners must trade off present and future extraction or supplying one country and the other. Whereas this is a plausible representation for oil and natural gas, important emission-intensive substitutes such as coal and uncoventional oil are so abundant that their owners face no such trade-off. A decrease in coal demand in one time period or region will therefore not trigger an equal increase in supply in the other. Moreover, if imperfect climate policies causes oil and natural gas owners to supply more in the near future or in countries with lax regulation, demand for dirtier substitutes will go down. Both effects mitigate intertemporal and spatial carbon leakage. When the substitutability between oil and coal differs across time periods or countries, a 'strong green orthodox' may occur.

KW - green paradox

KW - exhaustible resource

KW - backstop

KW - climate change

KW - carbon tax

M3 - Discussion paper

VL - 2011-076

T3 - CentER Discussion Paper

BT - Brown Backstops versus the Green Paradox (Replaced by CentER DP 2011-110)

PB - Economics

CY - Tilburg

ER -

Michielsen TO. Brown Backstops versus the Green Paradox (Replaced by CentER DP 2011-110). Tilburg: Economics. 2011. (CentER Discussion Paper).