Could the minimum wage directive weather future financial storms? studying the potential to ensure upward convergence of minimum wages

The Minimum Wage Directive undoubtedly symbolises the EU's will to guarantee decent wage standards throughout all Member States. However, the question remains as to whether it also fulfils the role of a sufficiently compelling instrument which, in times of significant economic downturn, could prevent minimum wages from being frozen or even cut in order to achieve macroeconomic objectives. A similar question is whether the Directive entails an obligation to keep up with decent wages, particularly in times of higher inflation. With these questions in mind, this article looks at several key provisions of the Directive and analyses their potential to legally guarantee adequate minimum wages at all times. In this regard, we found that the most impactful provisions would be Article 4 on the promotion of collective agreements, Article 7 on the involvement of social partners in statutory minimum wage-setting, Article 5 on adequate statutory minimum wages, and Article 16 on non-regression. Even though these Articles bring some significant improvements, they are, according to our understanding, insufficient in respect of preventing Member States from adopting policies which can compromise decent minimum wage standards. Considering this, this article also discusses how several legal or policy instruments could potentially strengthen the Directive when it comes to guaranteeing decent minimum wage levels. These instruments include Article 4 of the Revised Social Charter and its interpretation by the European Committee of Social Rights, a Social Progress Protocol, and a Social Imbalance Procedure. While the Social Charter could bring stricter legal standards regarding minimum wage levels, the Social Progress Protocol and the Social Imbalance Procedure could both leverage more socially based EU policies which would, ultimately, enforce an unobstructed implementation of the Directive. However, none of these instruments is currently being used by the EU, and their implementation faces significant obstacles.