Country-specfic goal-scoring in the "dying seconds" of international football matches

J.C. van Ours, M.A. van Tuijl

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

Abstract

This paper investigates whether there are country-specific characteristics in goal-scoring in the final stage of important international football matches. We examine goal-scoring from 1960 onwards in full ‘A’ international matches of six national teams: Belgium, Brazil, England, Germany, Italy and the Netherlands. We analyze qualifying matches for the European Championship and World Cup and the matches at the final tournaments of these two events, the Copa America and the Confederations Cup. We find that the national teams of Germany, England and the Netherlands are more likely than the three other national teams to score in the last minute – including stoppage time. However, for Germans this comes at a cost. Germany is more likely to concede a goal in the dying seconds of a match than other countries. During our period of analysis, the national teams of Brazil and Italy only conceded one goal in the last minute. As to winning penalty shootouts, Germany outperforms the other five countries.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)138-154
JournalInternational Journal of Sport Finance
Volume6
Issue number2
Publication statusPublished - 2011

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Germany
Scoring
Football
Dying
England
Italy
Brazil
The Netherlands
Penalty
Belgium
Tournament
Costs

Cite this

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abstract = "This paper investigates whether there are country-specific characteristics in goal-scoring in the final stage of important international football matches. We examine goal-scoring from 1960 onwards in full ‘A’ international matches of six national teams: Belgium, Brazil, England, Germany, Italy and the Netherlands. We analyze qualifying matches for the European Championship and World Cup and the matches at the final tournaments of these two events, the Copa America and the Confederations Cup. We find that the national teams of Germany, England and the Netherlands are more likely than the three other national teams to score in the last minute – including stoppage time. However, for Germans this comes at a cost. Germany is more likely to concede a goal in the dying seconds of a match than other countries. During our period of analysis, the national teams of Brazil and Italy only conceded one goal in the last minute. As to winning penalty shootouts, Germany outperforms the other five countries.",
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Country-specfic goal-scoring in the "dying seconds" of international football matches. / van Ours, J.C.; van Tuijl, M.A.

In: International Journal of Sport Finance, Vol. 6, No. 2, 2011, p. 138-154.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

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