Factors influencing long term dynamics of health care supply and demand

M.T. Smits, E. Roos

    Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionScientificpeer-review

    Abstract

    Governments and other policy makers use long-term planning models to support workforce planning decisions for regulating care markets and to ensure accurate balancing between care supply and demand. Our aim is to understand long-term effects of workforce planning decisions on care markets, in order to enhance health care policy making. We identify 25 key factors that influence care demand and supply based on literature analysis and analysis of a planning model for long term care development currently used in the Netherlands. We depict a model that relates these key factors together, and, ultimately construct a system dynamics model to predict long-term development of specialist care supply and demand. We conclude that long-term developments of care markets are not only determined by these 25 factors but also by dynamic interactions among three markets: (1) the specialist care markets, (2) the personnel markets in hospitals and specialist groups, and (3) the specialist training markets. Planning models must include such interactions to ensure valid long-term predictions of markets and workforce needs.
    Original languageEnglish
    Title of host publicationProceedings of the 20th European Conference of Information Systems (ECIS 2012)
    EditorsJ. Pries-Heje, M. Chiasson, J. Wareham, X. Busquets, J. Valor
    Place of PublicationBarcelona, Spain
    PublisherUnknown Publisher
    Pages1-12
    Publication statusPublished - 2012

    Fingerprint

    Influencing factors
    Healthcare
    Workforce planning
    Factors
    Planning
    Interaction
    Influence factors
    Workforce
    Personnel
    Demand and supply
    Prediction
    Politicians
    Policy making
    Long-term care
    Health care policy
    System dynamics model
    Government
    Long-term planning
    The Netherlands

    Cite this

    Smits, M. T., & Roos, E. (2012). Factors influencing long term dynamics of health care supply and demand. In J. Pries-Heje, M. Chiasson, J. Wareham, X. Busquets, & J. Valor (Eds.), Proceedings of the 20th European Conference of Information Systems (ECIS 2012) (pp. 1-12). Barcelona, Spain: Unknown Publisher.
    Smits, M.T. ; Roos, E. / Factors influencing long term dynamics of health care supply and demand. Proceedings of the 20th European Conference of Information Systems (ECIS 2012). editor / J. Pries-Heje ; M. Chiasson ; J. Wareham ; X. Busquets ; J. Valor. Barcelona, Spain : Unknown Publisher, 2012. pp. 1-12
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    title = "Factors influencing long term dynamics of health care supply and demand",
    abstract = "Governments and other policy makers use long-term planning models to support workforce planning decisions for regulating care markets and to ensure accurate balancing between care supply and demand. Our aim is to understand long-term effects of workforce planning decisions on care markets, in order to enhance health care policy making. We identify 25 key factors that influence care demand and supply based on literature analysis and analysis of a planning model for long term care development currently used in the Netherlands. We depict a model that relates these key factors together, and, ultimately construct a system dynamics model to predict long-term development of specialist care supply and demand. We conclude that long-term developments of care markets are not only determined by these 25 factors but also by dynamic interactions among three markets: (1) the specialist care markets, (2) the personnel markets in hospitals and specialist groups, and (3) the specialist training markets. Planning models must include such interactions to ensure valid long-term predictions of markets and workforce needs.",
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    Smits, MT & Roos, E 2012, Factors influencing long term dynamics of health care supply and demand. in J Pries-Heje, M Chiasson, J Wareham, X Busquets & J Valor (eds), Proceedings of the 20th European Conference of Information Systems (ECIS 2012). Unknown Publisher, Barcelona, Spain, pp. 1-12.

    Factors influencing long term dynamics of health care supply and demand. / Smits, M.T.; Roos, E.

    Proceedings of the 20th European Conference of Information Systems (ECIS 2012). ed. / J. Pries-Heje; M. Chiasson; J. Wareham; X. Busquets; J. Valor. Barcelona, Spain : Unknown Publisher, 2012. p. 1-12.

    Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionScientificpeer-review

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    N2 - Governments and other policy makers use long-term planning models to support workforce planning decisions for regulating care markets and to ensure accurate balancing between care supply and demand. Our aim is to understand long-term effects of workforce planning decisions on care markets, in order to enhance health care policy making. We identify 25 key factors that influence care demand and supply based on literature analysis and analysis of a planning model for long term care development currently used in the Netherlands. We depict a model that relates these key factors together, and, ultimately construct a system dynamics model to predict long-term development of specialist care supply and demand. We conclude that long-term developments of care markets are not only determined by these 25 factors but also by dynamic interactions among three markets: (1) the specialist care markets, (2) the personnel markets in hospitals and specialist groups, and (3) the specialist training markets. Planning models must include such interactions to ensure valid long-term predictions of markets and workforce needs.

    AB - Governments and other policy makers use long-term planning models to support workforce planning decisions for regulating care markets and to ensure accurate balancing between care supply and demand. Our aim is to understand long-term effects of workforce planning decisions on care markets, in order to enhance health care policy making. We identify 25 key factors that influence care demand and supply based on literature analysis and analysis of a planning model for long term care development currently used in the Netherlands. We depict a model that relates these key factors together, and, ultimately construct a system dynamics model to predict long-term development of specialist care supply and demand. We conclude that long-term developments of care markets are not only determined by these 25 factors but also by dynamic interactions among three markets: (1) the specialist care markets, (2) the personnel markets in hospitals and specialist groups, and (3) the specialist training markets. Planning models must include such interactions to ensure valid long-term predictions of markets and workforce needs.

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    BT - Proceedings of the 20th European Conference of Information Systems (ECIS 2012)

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    Smits MT, Roos E. Factors influencing long term dynamics of health care supply and demand. In Pries-Heje J, Chiasson M, Wareham J, Busquets X, Valor J, editors, Proceedings of the 20th European Conference of Information Systems (ECIS 2012). Barcelona, Spain: Unknown Publisher. 2012. p. 1-12