TY - JOUR
T1 - Hidden multiplicity in exploratory multiway ANOVA
T2 - Prevalence and remedies
AU - Cramer, A.O.J.
AU - van Ravenzwaaij, Don
AU - Matzke, Dora
AU - Steingroever, Helen
AU - Wetzels, Ruud
AU - Grasman, Raoul P P P
AU - Waldorp, Lourens J
AU - Wagenmakers, Eric-Jan
PY - 2016
Y1 - 2016
N2 - Many psychologists do not realize that exploratory use of the popular multiway analysis of variance harbors a multiple-comparison problem. In the case of two factors, three separate null hypotheses are subject to test (i.e., two main effects and one interaction). Consequently, the probability of at least one Type I error (if all null hypotheses are true) is 14 % rather than 5 %, if the three tests are independent. We explain the multiple-comparison problem and demonstrate that researchers almost never correct for it. To mitigate the problem, we describe four remedies: the omnibus F test, control of the familywise error rate, control of the false discovery rate, and preregistration of the hypotheses.
AB - Many psychologists do not realize that exploratory use of the popular multiway analysis of variance harbors a multiple-comparison problem. In the case of two factors, three separate null hypotheses are subject to test (i.e., two main effects and one interaction). Consequently, the probability of at least one Type I error (if all null hypotheses are true) is 14 % rather than 5 %, if the three tests are independent. We explain the multiple-comparison problem and demonstrate that researchers almost never correct for it. To mitigate the problem, we describe four remedies: the omnibus F test, control of the familywise error rate, control of the false discovery rate, and preregistration of the hypotheses.
KW - Analysis of Variance
KW - Biomedical Research
KW - Data Interpretation, Statistical
KW - Humans
KW - Psychology
KW - Journal Article
U2 - 10.3758/s13423-015-0913-5
DO - 10.3758/s13423-015-0913-5
M3 - Article
C2 - 26374437
SN - 1069-9384
VL - 23
SP - 640
EP - 647
JO - Psychonomic Bulletin & Review
JF - Psychonomic Bulletin & Review
IS - 2
ER -