In-Season Head-Coach Dismissals and the Performance of Professional Football Teams

J.C. van Ours, M.A. van Tuijl

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This paper studies the causes and consequences of in-season changes of the headcoach of association football teams. We exploit data from the highest level of
Dutch professional football during 14 successive seasons. An in-season change of
the head-coach depends on recent match results and the difference between actual
results and expectations as measured using bookmaker data. We find that, after
the head-coach has been replaced, teams perform better than before. However, the
performance is also better than before for a control group of coach replacements
that did not occur. From this we conclude that replacement of head-coaches does
not improve team performance.
Original languageEnglish
Place of PublicationTilburg
Number of pages36
Publication statusPublished - 1 Oct 2014

Publication series

NameCentER Discussion Paper


  • association football
  • coaches
  • performance


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