Individual Perceptions of Local Crime Risk

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Abstract

We provide evidence that perceptions of crime risk are severely biased for many years after a move to a new neighborhood. Based on four successive waves of a large crime survey, matched with administrative records on household relocations, we find that the longer an individual lives in a neighborhood, the higher their perception of the crime rate in the neighborhood. This finding holds irrespective of whether the move is from a relatively low-crime to a relatively high-crime area or vice versa. We find that avoidance behavior adjusts in line with the observed changes in beliefs.
Original languageEnglish
Place of PublicationTilburg
PublisherEconometrics
Number of pages46
Volume2014-044
Publication statusPublished - 26 Nov 2014

Publication series

NameTILEC Discussion Paper
Volume2014-044

Fingerprint

Crime
Individual perception
Avoidance
Crime rates
Household
Relocation

Keywords

  • heuristic
  • Victimization
  • crime

Cite this

Salm, M., & Vollaard, B. A. (2014). Individual Perceptions of Local Crime Risk. (TILEC Discussion Paper; Vol. 2014-044). Tilburg: Econometrics.
Salm, M. ; Vollaard, B.A. / Individual Perceptions of Local Crime Risk. Tilburg : Econometrics, 2014. (TILEC Discussion Paper).
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Salm, M & Vollaard, BA 2014 'Individual Perceptions of Local Crime Risk' TILEC Discussion Paper, vol. 2014-044, Econometrics, Tilburg.

Individual Perceptions of Local Crime Risk. / Salm, M.; Vollaard, B.A.

Tilburg : Econometrics, 2014. (TILEC Discussion Paper; Vol. 2014-044).

Research output: Working paperDiscussion paperOther research output

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Salm M, Vollaard BA. Individual Perceptions of Local Crime Risk. Tilburg: Econometrics. 2014 Nov 26. (TILEC Discussion Paper).