Abstract
Background:
Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infection is an important cause of infant mortality. Here, we estimated the potential impact of maternal vaccination against RSV on life-threatening RSV infection in infants.
Methods:
We developed a mathematical model for maternal vaccine-induced antibody dynamics and used characteristics of a maternal RSV vaccine currently in phase 3 of clinical development. The model was applied to data from two cohorts of children younger than 12 months with RSV-related paediatric intensive care unit (PICU) admission in the United Kingdom (n = 370) and the Netherlands (n = 167), and a cohort of 211 children younger than 12 months with RSV-related in-hospital death from 20 countries worldwide.
Results:
Our model predicted that, depending on vaccine efficiency, maternal vaccination at 30 weeks' gestational age could have prevented 62-75% of RSV-related PICU admissions in the United Kingdom and 76-87% in the Netherlands. For the global mortality cohort, the model predicted that maternal vaccination could have prevented 29-48% of RSV-related in-hospital deaths. Preterm children and children with comorbidities were predicted to benefit less than (healthy) term children.
Conclusions:
Maternal vaccination against RSV may substantially decrease life-threatening RSV infections in infants. (C) 2018 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license.
Original language | English |
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Pages (from-to) | 4693-4700 |
Journal | Vaccine |
Volume | 36 |
Issue number | 31 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - 2018 |
Keywords
- RSV
- Maternal vaccination
- Mathematical model
- Life-threatening infections
- Infant mortality
- ANTIBODY TRANSFER
- YOUNG-CHILDREN
- NEUTRALIZING ANTIBODIES
- INFLUENZA IMMUNIZATION
- CHILDBEARING AGE
- HIGH-RISK
- PERTUSSIS
- MORTALITY
- DISEASE