The dynamics of welfare opinions in changing economic, institutional and political contexts: An empirical analysis of Dutch deservingness opinions, 1975–2006

M.D. Jeene, W.J.H. van Oorschot, W.J.G. Uunk

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

Abstract

Long-term trends in deservingness opinions and how these fluctuate in relation to changes in the economic, institutional and political contexts have not often been examined. In this paper, we address these trend questions by analyzing 22 waves of the repeated cross-sectional Cultural Change in The Netherlands (CCN, 1975–2006) survey. Our analyses show fairly stable public deservingness opinions regarding five different needy groups over the long term. Over the short term, opinions fluctuate more. Explanatory analyses show that economic and political factors, but not institutional factors, are especially influential over fluctuations in opinions. When real GDP grows, the Dutch public is more likely to consider the disabled, the elderly and social assistance beneficiaries deserving of more welfare support. In addition, when unemployment rises, the unemployed and social assistance beneficiaries are more likely to be seen as deserving of more support. Finally, when the national political climate is more leftist, most needy groups are considered to be deserving of more welfare support.
Keywords: Deservingness, Opinion, Trend analysis, Social security, Welfare
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)731-749
JournalSocial Indicators Research
Volume115
Issue number2
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2014

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institutional economics
welfare
social assistance
Unemployment
Netherlands
trend
institutional factors
political factors
cultural change
social security
economic factors
fluctuation
public opinion
unemployment
Group
climate
Economics
Beneficiaries
Surveys and Questionnaires

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@article{54122e19ccd74bbe84e35ce4b2a21119,
title = "The dynamics of welfare opinions in changing economic, institutional and political contexts: An empirical analysis of Dutch deservingness opinions, 1975–2006",
abstract = "Long-term trends in deservingness opinions and how these fluctuate in relation to changes in the economic, institutional and political contexts have not often been examined. In this paper, we address these trend questions by analyzing 22 waves of the repeated cross-sectional Cultural Change in The Netherlands (CCN, 1975–2006) survey. Our analyses show fairly stable public deservingness opinions regarding five different needy groups over the long term. Over the short term, opinions fluctuate more. Explanatory analyses show that economic and political factors, but not institutional factors, are especially influential over fluctuations in opinions. When real GDP grows, the Dutch public is more likely to consider the disabled, the elderly and social assistance beneficiaries deserving of more welfare support. In addition, when unemployment rises, the unemployed and social assistance beneficiaries are more likely to be seen as deserving of more support. Finally, when the national political climate is more leftist, most needy groups are considered to be deserving of more welfare support.Keywords: Deservingness, Opinion, Trend analysis, Social security, Welfare",
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language = "English",
volume = "115",
pages = "731--749",
journal = "Social Indicators Research",
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The dynamics of welfare opinions in changing economic, institutional and political contexts : An empirical analysis of Dutch deservingness opinions, 1975–2006. / Jeene, M.D.; van Oorschot, W.J.H.; Uunk, W.J.G.

In: Social Indicators Research, Vol. 115, No. 2, 2014, p. 731-749.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

TY - JOUR

T1 - The dynamics of welfare opinions in changing economic, institutional and political contexts

T2 - An empirical analysis of Dutch deservingness opinions, 1975–2006

AU - Jeene, M.D.

AU - van Oorschot, W.J.H.

AU - Uunk, W.J.G.

PY - 2014

Y1 - 2014

N2 - Long-term trends in deservingness opinions and how these fluctuate in relation to changes in the economic, institutional and political contexts have not often been examined. In this paper, we address these trend questions by analyzing 22 waves of the repeated cross-sectional Cultural Change in The Netherlands (CCN, 1975–2006) survey. Our analyses show fairly stable public deservingness opinions regarding five different needy groups over the long term. Over the short term, opinions fluctuate more. Explanatory analyses show that economic and political factors, but not institutional factors, are especially influential over fluctuations in opinions. When real GDP grows, the Dutch public is more likely to consider the disabled, the elderly and social assistance beneficiaries deserving of more welfare support. In addition, when unemployment rises, the unemployed and social assistance beneficiaries are more likely to be seen as deserving of more support. Finally, when the national political climate is more leftist, most needy groups are considered to be deserving of more welfare support.Keywords: Deservingness, Opinion, Trend analysis, Social security, Welfare

AB - Long-term trends in deservingness opinions and how these fluctuate in relation to changes in the economic, institutional and political contexts have not often been examined. In this paper, we address these trend questions by analyzing 22 waves of the repeated cross-sectional Cultural Change in The Netherlands (CCN, 1975–2006) survey. Our analyses show fairly stable public deservingness opinions regarding five different needy groups over the long term. Over the short term, opinions fluctuate more. Explanatory analyses show that economic and political factors, but not institutional factors, are especially influential over fluctuations in opinions. When real GDP grows, the Dutch public is more likely to consider the disabled, the elderly and social assistance beneficiaries deserving of more welfare support. In addition, when unemployment rises, the unemployed and social assistance beneficiaries are more likely to be seen as deserving of more support. Finally, when the national political climate is more leftist, most needy groups are considered to be deserving of more welfare support.Keywords: Deservingness, Opinion, Trend analysis, Social security, Welfare

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