The Economic Effects of Croatia's Accession to the EU

Arjan Lejour, Andrea Mervar, Gerard Verweij

Research output: Working paperDiscussion paperOther research output


We explore the economic implications of the possible accession of Croatia to the European Union. We focus on two main changes associated with the EU-membership: accession to the internal European Market and institutional reforms in Croatia triggered by the EU-membership. consumption per capita in Croatia is estimated to rise by about 2.5 percent as a result of accession to the internal market. In particular the textile and wearing apparel sectors expand. If Croatia succeeds in reforming its domestic institutions in response to the EU-membership, income levels in Croatia could increase even more. In particular, tentative estimates suggest that GDP per capita in Croatia could even rise by additional 8 percent. Overall, the macroeconomic implications for the existing EU countries are negligible. -- Regional economic integration ; general equilibrium model ; gravity equations ; institutional reform ; Croatia
Original languageEnglish
Place of PublicationKiel
PublisherKiel Inst. for the World Economy]
Number of pages29
Publication statusPublished - 2008
Externally publishedYes

Publication series

NameEconomics Discussion Paper


  • Wirkungsanalyse
  • Kroatien
  • Institutioneller Wandel
  • EU-Erweiterung
  • EU-Staaten
  • Europäische Integration
  • Makroökonomischer Einfluss


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