The procyclicality of banking: Evidence from the Euro area

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

Abstract

Loan loss provisions in the euro area are negatively related to GDP growth, i.e., they are procyclical. Loan loss provisions tend to be more procyclical at larger and better capitalized banks. The procyclicality of loan loss provisions can explain about two-thirds of the variation in bank capitalization over the business cycle. We estimate that provisioning procyclicality in the euro area is about twice as large as in other advanced economies. This difference reflects a larger procyclicality of provisioning in euro area countries already prior to euro adoption and the divergent growth experiences of euro area countries following the global financial crisis.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)496-527
JournalIMF Economic Review
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Sep 2019

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Procyclicality
Banking
Euro area
Loan loss provisions
Provisioning
Capitalization
Euro adoption
Business cycles
Global financial crisis
GDP growth

Cite this

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abstract = "Loan loss provisions in the euro area are negatively related to GDP growth, i.e., they are procyclical. Loan loss provisions tend to be more procyclical at larger and better capitalized banks. The procyclicality of loan loss provisions can explain about two-thirds of the variation in bank capitalization over the business cycle. We estimate that provisioning procyclicality in the euro area is about twice as large as in other advanced economies. This difference reflects a larger procyclicality of provisioning in euro area countries already prior to euro adoption and the divergent growth experiences of euro area countries following the global financial crisis.",
author = "Harry Huizinga and Luc Laeven",
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The procyclicality of banking: Evidence from the Euro area. / Huizinga, Harry; Laeven, Luc.

In: IMF Economic Review, 09.2019, p. 496-527.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

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