Volume Flexibility and Capacity Investment: A Real Options Approach

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Abstract

This paper considers the investment decision of a firm where it has to decide about the timing and capacity. We obtain that in a fast growing market, right after investment the firm produces below capacity, where the utilization rate (the proportion of capacity that is used for production right after the investment) increases with market uncertainty for a very big market trend, and shows no monotonicity for a moderately large market trend. On the other hand we get that, for a slowly growing or shrinking market, the firm produces up to capacity right after investment. In the intermediate case, the firm produces
up to capacity right after investment when uncertainty is low and below capacity when uncertainty is high, whereas the utilization rate decreases with the market uncertainty.
Original languageEnglish
Place of PublicationTilburg
PublisherEconometrics
Number of pages30
Volume2015-022
Publication statusPublished - 2 Apr 2015

Publication series

NameCentER Discussion Paper
Volume2015-022

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Keywords

  • Investment under Uncertainty
  • Monopoly
  • capacity choice
  • volume flexibility

Cite this

Wen, X., Kort, P. M., & Talman, A. J. J. (2015). Volume Flexibility and Capacity Investment: A Real Options Approach. (CentER Discussion Paper; Vol. 2015-022). Tilburg: Econometrics.